CMA — 516 Essex Drive — Thomas Lower

REALTEAMREAL ESTATE
Thomas Lower

Thomas Lower
REALTEAM Real Estate · — · tom@mirealteam.com
PRELIMINARY — automatically generated comparative market analysis. Reply to Logan to revise or remove this page.
Comparative Market Analysis · Appraiser-Style Methodology · Prepared July 2026
516 Essex Drive▤ View all 15 photos

516 Essex Drive

Rochester Hills, MI 48307-3505 · Eddington Farms · Rochester Community School District
Opinion of Market Value
$537,500 – $610,000
Most probable price ≈ $570,000 · 78% confidence · balanced market
Pricing Strategy

Four Ways to Price It

A single number hides the strategy. In a market absorbing inventory in 4.3 months at 100.8% of list, here is the full ladder — priced so the home lists strong and never leaves money on the table.

Conservative
$537,500
Quick, near-certain sale
Market Value
$570,000
Most probable sale price
Strategic List Price
$570,000
List here — priced to the market
Aspirational
$610,000
Tests the top of the comp support
The Subject Property

A Eddington Farms Colonial

A 1989 colonial in Rochester Hills’s Eddington Farms — 2,174 sq ft above grade, 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, and a 2-car garage on a 0.25 acre lot. Location, Location! (per the MLS listing.)

Style
Colonial
Subdivision
Eddington Farms
Schools
Rochester Community School District
Bedrooms
3
Bathrooms
3
Above-Grade Living Area
2,174 sqft
Finished Basement
~0 sqft
Garage
2-car
Year Built
1989
Lot
0.25 ac
Last Sale
Sold $225,000 · August 2011
Updates
Updated per MLS remarks
Photos · select any to view all 15
Market Conditions

Balanced Market

The subject’s segment (Rochester Hills 48307-3505, 1,739–2,608 sq ft) is absorbing inventory in 4.3 months, with a median 8-day market time, with homes closing at 100.8% of list. Median above-grade $/sqft moved from $212 to $247 quarter over quarter (median sale $472,500). This reads as a balanced market, which the pricing below reflects.

4.3
Months of Inventory
8 days
Median Days on Market
101%
Sale-to-List
+16%
$/SqFt, Quarter/Quarter
Comparable Sales · MiRealSource MLS

The Comparables

Comps were selected by subdivision first, then adjacent neighborhoods within the same schools, held to ±20% of the home’s above-grade size and the last six months. Each is scored 0–100 (location, size, age, style, lot, condition, amenities); anything under 70 is set aside. Select any home to see every MLS photo.

192 Bellshire Lane, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos86/100
COMP 1 · SOLD 2026-06-30

192 Bellshire Lane, Rochester Hills

$562,000
4 bd · 4 ba · 2,310 sqft above grade (+1190 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1993 · Eddington Farmsno 3
$243/sqft · suggests $504,670 · weight 25%
Same subdivision · view all 36 photos
1234 Harvard Drive, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos85/100
COMP 2 · SOLD 2026-04-02

1234 Harvard Drive, Rochester Hills

$525,000
4 bd · 3 ba · 2,076 sqft above grade (+0 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1991 · Yorktowne Commons
$253/sqft · suggests $520,691 · weight 23%
Lower-end anchor · view all 36 photos
240 Parkland Drive, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos83/100
COMP 3 · SOLD 2026-05-15

240 Parkland Drive, Rochester Hills

$625,000
4 bd · 3 ba · 2,125 sqft above grade (+700 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1987 · Avon Hills Village 4
$294/sqft · suggests $601,445 · weight 19%
Near-identical size — a tight match · view all 36 photos
1698 Farnborough Drive, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos80/100
COMP 4 · SOLD 2026-04-10

1698 Farnborough Drive, Rochester Hills

$701,000
3 bd · 4 ba · 2,452 sqft above grade (+1290 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1993 · Eddington Farmsno 3
$286/sqft · suggests $615,860 · weight 14%
Same subdivision · view all 36 photos
360 Sandalwood Drive, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos78/100
COMP 5 · SOLD 2026-05-29

360 Sandalwood Drive, Rochester Hills

$560,000
4 bd · 4 ba · 2,369 sqft above grade (+1000 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1987 · Avon Hills Village 4
$236/sqft · suggests $499,124 · weight 12%
Lower-end anchor · view all 36 photos
477 Coldiron Drive, Rochester Hills▤ 36 photos74/100
COMP 6 · SOLD 2026-06-26

477 Coldiron Drive, Rochester Hills

$412,648
3 bd · 3 ba · 1,968 sqft above grade (+0 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1979 · Cumberland Hillsno 1
$210/sqft · suggests $442,278 · weight 7%
Lower-end anchor · view all 36 photos
Adjustments & Weighting

Appraiser-Style Reconciliation

Each comparable’s sold price is adjusted to your home — living area (marginal $105/sqft), finished basement ($35/sqft), garage ($8,000/bay), lot, age/condition, and location — then weighted by similarity rather than averaged.

Comparable Sold Price Living Area Basement Garage Lot Age/Condition Location Adjusted Value Weight
192 Bellshire Lane $562,000 −$14,280 −$41,650 +$0 +$1,800 −$3,200 +$0 $504,670 25%
1234 Harvard Drive $525,000 +$10,290 +$0 +$0 −$2,999 −$1,600 −$10,000 $520,691 23%
240 Parkland Drive $625,000 +$5,145 −$24,500 +$0 +$4,200 +$1,600 −$10,000 $601,445 19%
1698 Farnborough Drive $701,000 −$29,190 −$45,150 +$0 +$2,400 −$3,200 −$10,000 $615,860 14%
360 Sandalwood Drive $560,000 −$20,475 −$35,000 +$0 +$2,999 +$1,600 −$10,000 $499,124 12%
477 Coldiron Drive $412,648 +$21,630 +$0 +$0 +$0 +$8,000 +$0 $442,278 7%

How to read this: each adjustment adds or subtracts what a difference is worth (a comp with a bigger basement than yours is adjusted down, and vice versa). “Adjusted Value” is what that sale suggests your home is worth. “Weight” is how strongly that comp counts toward the final opinion — the closest matches count most.

192 Bellshire Lane (sold $562,000) adjusts to $504,670 and carries 25% weight. 1234 Harvard Drive (sold $525,000) adjusts to $520,691 and carries 23% weight. 2 comparable(s) inside Eddington Farms anchor the value directly. Reconciled and weighted by similarity — not averaged — the evidence centers on $537,959; positioned for the balanced market, the opinion of value is $570,000.

Weighted indicated value $537,959 → opinion of value $570,000
Active Competition & Pending Sales

What Buyers Are Choosing From

On the market now (34)
$849,000804 N Main Street # 3B1,848 sf · 33 days
$780,000804 N Main Street # 3A2,200 sf · 69 days
$745,000410 W 4th Street2,200 sf · 35 days
$697,990317 Wesley Street2,075 sf · 51 days
Under contract (22)
$999,999338 Wesley Street2,416 sf · 161 days
$720,000640 W University Drive2,315 sf · 8 days
$699,5002044 Breckenridge Court2,543 sf · 131 days
$699,0002094 Westridge Drive2,329 sf · 4 days

Right now buyers in this size band are choosing from asks of $697,990–$849,000 and pending contracts cluster $699,000–$999,999 — measured against that, the opinion of value holds.

Confidence

78% Confidence

  • 47 qualified sales in the segment in six months — a deep comp pool.
  • 2 comparables inside the subject’s own subdivision bracket the value directly.
  • Strong pending support: 22 homes under contract in the segment.
  • Held below 100% because the subject’s current interior condition isn’t independently verified.
Marketing Strategy

How to Take It to Market

Game plan
  • List at $570,000 — positioned against the $570,000 opinion of value with room to negotiate in a more balanced market.
  • Verify current interior condition before finalizing — updates could justify the $610,000 aspirational tier; deferred condition trends toward $537,500.
  • Pre-list prep: professional photos and light staging; expect strong early activity given the 8-day median market time.
  • Keep the adjustment grid in the listing file — the price sits inside adjusted comp support, so appraisal risk is managed.
Seller talking points
  • 2 recent sale(s) inside Eddington Farms anchor your value directly.
  • Homes like yours are selling in about 8 days.
  • Only 34 comparable homes are on the market — limited competition favors you.
  • $/sqft in your size range moved $212 → $247 quarter over quarter.
Key Assumptions & Risks to Value
Assumptions
  • Above-grade living area of 2,174 sq ft per the MLS record.
  • Interior condition assumed consistent with the most recent listing record — a current walkthrough may adjust value up or down.
  • No unpermitted additions or major deferred systems beyond normal age.
Risks
  • If interior condition lags the comparables, value trends toward the $537,500 conservative figure.
  • A rate move could shift the buyer pool this analysis is priced against.
Thomas Lower

Thomas Lower
REALTEAM Real Estate
— · tom@mirealteam.com
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Prepared by Thomas Lower, REALTEAM Real Estate, July 2026, using the Logan CMA Framework (USPAP-inspired). Data: MiRealSource / Realcomp MLS + public records. Square footage is above-grade finished area; basements shown separately. Subject photos are from the prior MLS listing (August 2011); comparable photos are current MLS listing photos. This is a broker opinion of value for marketing purposes, not an appraisal. Equal Housing Opportunity.