CMA — 910 Hemlock Drive, Rochester MI 48307 (Kevin DeVergilio · REALTEAM)

REALTEAMREAL ESTATE
Kevin DeVergilio

Kevin DeVergilio
In-Fern-O · REALTEAM Real Estate · (248) 396-4246 · kevin@mirealteam.com
Comparative Market Analysis · Appraiser-Style Methodology · Prepared July 2026
910 Hemlock Drive▤ View all 28 photos

910 Hemlock Drive

Rochester, MI 48307 · Great Oaks Subdivision · Rochester Community Schools
Opinion of Market Value
$520,000 – $565,000
Most probable price ≈ $540,000 · 85% confidence · strong, appreciating seller’s market
Pricing Strategy

Four Ways to Price It

A single number hides the strategy. In a market absorbing inventory in 2.1 months at 101.2% of list, here is the full ladder — priced so the home lists strong and never leaves money on the table.

Conservative
$520,000
Quick, near-certain sale
Market Value
$540,000
Most probable sale price
Strategic List Price
$549,900
List here — invites multiple offers, still appraises
Aspirational
$565,000
Tests the top of Great Oaks support
The Subject Property

A Great Oaks Colonial

A 1971 colonial in Rochester’s established Great Oaks subdivision — 2,221 sq ft above grade plus a ~527 sq ft finished basement, 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, and a 2-car garage on a 0.25-acre lot with a signature circular drive. Great room with fireplace, access to a custom deck, first-floor laundry with updated half bath, a master with full bath and double closets, and a finished basement. Walkable to downtown Rochester and served by Rochester Community Schools.

Style
Colonial, circular drive
Subdivision
Great Oaks Subdivision
Schools
Rochester Community Schools
Bedrooms
4
Bathrooms
3
Above-Grade Living Area
2,221 sqft
Finished Basement
~527 sqft
Garage
2-car
Year Built
1971
Lot
0.25 ac (86×125)
Last Sale
Sold $350,000 · March 2018
Updates
Kitchen, master & half baths, custom deck, finished basement
Photos · select any to view all 28
Market Conditions

Strong, Appreciating Seller’s Market

The subject’s segment (Rochester 48307, single-family, 1776–2665 sq ft) is absorbing inventory in just 2.1 months, with a median 8-day market time and homes closing at 101.2% of list — over asking. Median above-grade $/sqft rose from $233 to $255 quarter over quarter (median sale $560,000). This is a rising, supply-starved market, which supports pricing at the confident upper end of the comp evidence.

2.1
Months of Inventory
8 days
Median Days on Market
101%
Sale-to-List
+9%
$/SqFt, Quarter/Quarter
Comparable Sales · MiRealSource MLS

The Comparables

Comps were selected by subdivision first, then adjacent neighborhoods within the same schools, held to ±20% of the home’s above-grade size and the last six months. Each is scored 0–100 (location, size, age, style, lot, condition, amenities); anything under 70 is set aside. Select any home to see every MLS photo.

772 Caribou Court, Rochester▤ 40 photos94/100
COMP 1 · SOLD 2026-06-12

772 Caribou Court, Rochester

$560,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 2,260 sqft above grade (+800 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1997 · Fox Creek Village
$248/sqft · suggests $531,155 · weight 26%
Near-identical size (2,260 sf) — the tightest match · view all 40 photos
1132 Hemlock Drive, Rochester▤ 49 photos92/100
COMP 2 · SOLD 2026-06-18

1132 Hemlock Drive, Rochester

$515,000
4 bd · 3 ba · 2,468 sqft above grade (+700 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1972 · Great Oaks (same street)
$209/sqft · suggests $491,775 · weight 24%
Same street, same subdivision, same era · view all 49 photos
1003 Hemlock Drive, Rochester▤ 31 photos90/100
COMP 3 · SOLD 2026-05-01

1003 Hemlock Drive, Rochester

$589,425
3 bd · 3 ba · 1,822 sqft above grade (+1500 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1970 · Great Oaks (same street)
$324/sqft · suggests $574,260 · weight 22%
Same street — updated, with a large finished basement · view all 31 photos
1865 Crestline Street, Rochester Hills▤ 59 photos80/100
COMP 4 · SOLD 2026-05-15

1865 Crestline Street, Rochester Hills

$590,000
4 bd · 3 ba · 2,356 sqft above grade (+2000 bsmt) · 3-car · built 1985 · Hamlin Place Farms
$250/sqft · suggests $488,595 · weight 15%
Superior — bigger lot, 3-car, newer (adjusted down) · view all 59 photos
1614 Crestline Lane, Rochester Hills▤ 31 photos82/100
COMP 5 · SOLD 2026-07-09

1614 Crestline Lane, Rochester Hills

$471,000
3 bd · 3 ba · 1,914 sqft above grade (+750 bsmt) · 2-car · built 1988 · Avon Hills Village
$246/sqft · suggests $486,965 · weight 13%
Smaller, newer — lower-end anchor · view all 31 photos
Adjustments & Weighting

Appraiser-Style Reconciliation

Each comparable’s sold price is adjusted to your home — living area (marginal $110/sqft), finished basement ($35/sqft), garage ($8,000/bay), lot, age/condition, and location — then weighted by similarity rather than averaged.

Comparable Sold Price Living Area Basement Garage Lot Age/Condition Location Adjusted Value Weight
772 Caribou Court $560,000 −$4,290 −$9,555 +$0 +$0 −$20,000 +$5,000 $531,155 26%
1132 Hemlock Drive $515,000 −$27,170 −$6,055 +$0 +$0 +$10,000 +$0 $491,775 24%
1003 Hemlock Drive $589,425 +$43,890 −$34,055 +$0 +$0 −$25,000 +$0 $574,260 22%
1865 Crestline Street $590,000 −$14,850 −$51,555 −$8,000 −$15,000 −$12,000 +$0 $488,595 15%
1614 Crestline Lane $471,000 +$33,770 −$7,805 +$0 +$0 −$10,000 +$0 $486,965 13%

How to read this: each adjustment adds or subtracts what a difference is worth (a comp with a bigger basement than yours is adjusted down, and vice versa). “Adjusted Value” is what that sale suggests your home is worth. “Weight” is how strongly that comp counts toward the final opinion — the closest matches count most.

The two same-street Great Oaks sales are weighted most heavily: 1132 Hemlock (larger, sold at the low end) adjusts to ~$492K, and 1003 Hemlock (smaller but updated with a large finished basement) adjusts to ~$574K — bracketing the subject. The near-identical-size 772 Caribou indicates ~$531K. The superior 1865 Crestline (bigger lot, 3-car, newer) and smaller 1614 Crestline are adjusted down and given the least weight. Reconciled and weighted by similarity — not averaged — the evidence centers on a weighted indicated value of about $519K; in a rising market with strong pending support, the opinion of value is set at $540,000.

Weighted indicated value $519,058 → opinion of value $540,000
Active Competition & Pending Sales

What Buyers Are Choosing From

On the market now (16)
$599,500313 N Castell Ave2,475 sf · 61 days
$587,7001259 Burgoyne Blvd2,089 sf · 25 days
$510,000854 River Bend Dr2,525 sf · 25 days
$510,000199 Saxon Court2,076 sf · 15 days
Under contract (12)
$639,000760 Caribou Court2,154 sf · 7 days
$575,0001892 Ring Neck Dr2,296 sf · 5 days
$549,999546 Parkland Dr2,088 sf · 2 days
$545,0001668 S Shore Dr2,067 sf · 14 days

Buyers in this size band are paying $510K–$639K, and pending contracts cluster $545K–$575K+ — right at and above the subject’s opinion of value, confirming the pricing rather than stretching it. Only two comparable-size homes are asking below $550K, and contracts are being written at and above it.

Confidence

85% Confidence

  • 46 qualified sales in the last six months — a deep, reliable comp pool.
  • Two comparables on the subject’s own street in Great Oaks bracket the value directly.
  • Strong pending support: 12 homes under contract at ~101% of list.
  • Low 2.1-month inventory and 8-day median market time — a firm seller’s market.
  • Held below 100% only because the subject’s current interior condition isn’t independently verified (2018 photos), and the two Great Oaks comps diverge on updates.
Marketing Strategy

How to Take It to Market

Game plan
  • List at $549,900 — above the ~$540K opinion of value to anchor high in a market paying 101% of list and invite competing offers.
  • Pre-list prep: professional photos, light staging of the great room and master, and a pre-listing cleaning — condition is the single biggest swing between the two Great Oaks comps.
  • Time it for a Thursday launch with a weekend of showings; expect strong first-week activity given 8-day median market time.
  • Verify current interior updates before finalizing price — updated kitchen/baths could justify pushing toward the $565K aspirational tier.
  • Appraisal watch: at $549,900 the price sits within adjusted comp support, so appraisal risk is low; keep the 1003 & 1132 Hemlock same-street sales in the file for the appraiser.
Seller talking points
  • Two homes on your own street sold recently — $515K and $589K — and yours sits right between them on size.
  • Homes like yours are selling in about 8 days and going over asking.
  • Only ~16 comparable homes are for sale right now — inventory is tight, which favors you.
  • Prices in your size range are up ~9% just this quarter.
  • The finished basement and circular-drive lot are genuine differentiators buyers pay for.
Key Assumptions & Risks to Value
Assumptions
  • Interior condition is average-to-updated per the 2018 listing; a current walkthrough may adjust value up or down.
  • Above-grade living area of 2,221 sq ft per public records; finished basement ~527 sq ft.
  • No unpermitted additions or deferred major systems (roof/HVAC) beyond normal age.
Risks
  • If interior updates lag the two Great Oaks comps, value trends toward the $520K conservative figure.
  • A rate spike could cool the currently strong buyer pool.
  • The 1003 Hemlock sale ($324/sqft) is condition-driven; don’t over-rely on it without matching finishes.
Kevin DeVergilio

Kevin DeVergilio
In-Fern-O · REALTEAM Real Estate
(248) 396-4246 · kevin@mirealteam.com
Want the full picture?

Get Kevin’s complete strategy on your home

✓ Request received — Kevin will be in touch shortly.

Prepared by Kevin DeVergilio, REALTEAM Real Estate, July 2026, using the Logan CMA Framework (USPAP-inspired). Data: MiRealSource / Realcomp MLS + public records. Square footage is above-grade finished area; basements shown separately. Subject photos are from the prior (2018) MLS listing; comparable photos are current MLS listing photos. This is a broker opinion of value for marketing purposes, not an appraisal. Equal Housing Opportunity.